tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7128876061152913522.post3729302163444793432..comments2023-09-27T01:20:18.540-07:00Comments on PoliticsByTheNumbers(mostlyDelaware): A Look at the 2006 GOP US Senate Primary in DelawareJohn Tobinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14776976537304245454noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7128876061152913522.post-84823604248567692562009-10-19T18:19:53.971-07:002009-10-19T18:19:53.971-07:00Your point is well taken that she has had some tim...Your point is well taken that she has had some time to pick up support within the party and Castle may have lost some support within the Party. I guess I saw her party endorsement in 2008 as supporting a sacrificial lamb against Joe Biden, the way the Democrats have often supported someone against Castle who had no or very little chance.<br />I assume the organization will build as much consensus as possible behind Castle. I am thinking she will not find enough disaffected Republicans to beat him in a primary,but I will continue to research and the situation could change.<br />You have increased my curiousity about the question of likely voters and who they will support in a primary. Support is important,but only if supporters actually vote.<br />Thanks for your comment.John Tobinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14776976537304245454noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7128876061152913522.post-11066530622473729272009-10-19T16:17:02.529-07:002009-10-19T16:17:02.529-07:00It is an interesting start at an analysis, but the...It is an interesting start at an analysis, but the question is MIke Castle and his appeal with in the party. Polls showed that he had a higher disapproval within the party than outside of it. <br /><br />The problem with looking at her votes in the 2006 primary is that she was an unknown who was only in the race a few weeks. A lot has changed. She received 60% of the convention vote in 2008 but she would not have received 10% in 2006 if she had been in the race.Davidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14763905164821434222noreply@blogger.com