Relative Turnout a Factor in 9th State Rep Race

In 2008 Democratic challenger Rebecca Walker won in EDs 1,3,4,6,9 and Dick Cathcart, Republican incumbent, won in EDs 2,5,7,8,10, but Cathcart won the 9th State Rep race 7436 to 6375, in part due to higher turnout in districts where Cathcart won in comparison to turnout in districts where Walker won.

This is only one factor among several ,but it is a pattern that was consistent over the last three election cycles.

In 2006 Cathcart beat Walker 4416-3843. In 2004 Cathcart beat Vincent Ascione 7,500 to 4,154. Cathcart ran unopposed in 2002, the first election held after the 2002 reapportionment which brought the current configuration of this district into existence.


Here’s is turnout for Walker won combined 2008 EDS
2004 **71.4%
2006**46.47%
2008**72.42%
Here is turnout for Cathcart won combined 2008 EDS
2004**75.7%
2006**51.32%
2008**75.94 %
Election districts that went for Cathcart in each of the last 3 elections had 3.52%-4.85% higher turnout.
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Turnout 1st of the 9th RD(Southern Elementary School)


2004***77%
2006***42.25%
2008***75.0%
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Turnout 2nd of the 9th RD (Waters Middle School)
2004****79.7%
2006***48.0%
2008***78.3%
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Turnout 3rd of the 9th RD (Brick Mill Elementary School)
2004*****77.4%
2006*****51.8%
2008****78.3%
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Turnout 4th of the 9th RD (Delaware City Library)
2004*****61.8%
2006*****41.1%
2008***64.1%
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Turnout 5th of the 9th RD (Odessa Fire Hall)
2004****78.2%
2006***56.3%
2008***78.4%
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Turnout 6th ED of the 9th RD (Loss Elementary School)
2004*****74.4%
2006***46.6%
2008***72.7%
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Turnout 7th ED of the 9th RD (Port Penn Fire Hall)
2004***73.6%
2006***54.5%
2008***75.9%
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Turnout 8th ED of the 9th RD (St Georges Technical School)
2004***72.7%
2006***46.0%
2008***70.1%
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Turnout 9th ED of the 9th RD (Freewill Baptist Church)
2004***69.9%
2006***50.6%
2008***72.0%
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Turnout 10th ED of the 9th RD (Cedar Lane Elementary School)
2004***74.4%
2006***51.8%
2008***77.0%
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Districtwide Turnout 9th RD
2004***74.3%
2006***49.8%
2008***74.9%