While past performance is no guarantee of future performance the relative weights of each of the four representative district which have portions that comprise the 19th State Sen District supplied roughly the same percentage of the district total each of the four elections held since the 2002 reapportionment created the current 19th State Senate District.
Relative turnout is less predictable in a special election,but if this trend remains constant it could impact the outcome of the upcoming special election.Who controls what geography is always important,but when it looks lopsided enough to favor a specific area contestants must either get their fair share from that area or significantly drive up their numbers elsewhere.
2008
Total votes cast--------------18,656
35th Rep District--- Votes cast 8350-- percentage of Sen Dist.total--44.8%
36th Rep District--- Votes cast 4988-- percentage of Sen Dist.total--26.7%
37th Rep District--- Votes cast 3604---percentage of Sen Dist.total--19.3%
39th Rep District--- Votes cast 1714---percentage of Sen Dist.total--9.2%
2006
Total votes cast------------- 9294
35th Rep District-- Votes cast 4057--percentage of Sen Dist total--43.7%
36th Rep District-- Votes cast 2305--percentage of Sen Dist total--24.8%
37th Rep District-- Votes cast 2042-- percentage of Sen Dist total--22.0
39th Rep District-- Votes cast 890---percentage of Sen Dist total-- 9.5%
2004
Total votes cast ------------15,161
35th Rep District-- Votes cast 6656-- percentage of Sen Dist total--43.9%
36th Rep District-- Votes cast 3712-- percentage of Sen Dist total-- 24.5%
37th Rep District-- Votes cast 3212--percentage of Sen Dist total-- 21.2%
39th Rep District-- Votes cast 1576-- percentage of Sen Dist total --10.4%
2002
Total votes cast ----------10,052
35th Rep District-- Votes cast 4210--percentage of Sen Dist total--41.9%
36th Rep District-- Votes cast 2446--percentage of Sen Dist total--24.3%
37th Rep District-- Votes cast 2364--percentage of Sen Dist total--23.5%
39th Rep District-- Votes cast 1032--percentage of Sen Dist total--10.3%
In 2008 & 2004 there was no contest for the 19th State Senate seat so the numbers used were voter turnout numbers from the State Election Commissioner’s website AGP (Age,Group Party) report.
2008
http://elections.delaware.gov/reports/agprpt_2008.html
2004
http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect04/AGP04/AGP04Gen.PDF
The results for the 19th State Senate race in 2002 & 2006 come from the State Election Commissioner’s election archive
2006
http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect06/elect06_general/html/elect06_general.edrd.shtml
2002
http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect02/elect02_general/elect02_edrd.shtml
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Saturday, June 27, 2009
General Election 19th State Senate Polling Places. Likely to be combined into fewer locations for the special election
Representative District 35
GREENWOOD FIRE HALL ED: 01
BRIDGEVILLE FIRE HALL ED: 02
WOODBRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL ED: 03
Located in Bridgeville
DEL TECH HIGHER EDUCATION BLDG ED: 04
Located in Georgetown.
REDDEN COMMUNITY HALL ED: 06 RD: 35.
ELLENDALE FIRE HALL ED: 07 RD: 35
36th RD
4. MORRIS EARLY LEARNING CENTER
Lincoln
ED: 04 RD: 36
5. DEL TECH - JASON BLDG
Georgetown
ED: 05 RD: 36
6. MARINER MIDDLE SCHOOL
ED: 06 RD: 36
Milton
8. ELLENDALE FIRE HALL
ED: 08 RD: 36
37th RD
4. HARBESON CHURCH HALL
ED: 04 RD: 37
5. GEORGETOWN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
ED: 05 RD: 37
6. NORTH GEORGETOWN ELEMENTARY
ED: 06 RD: 37
8. DOT TRANSPORTATION BLDG
ED: 08 RD: 37
Georgetown
39th RD
1. SEAFORD MIDDLE SCHOOL
ED: 01 RD: 39
3. SEAFORD SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
ED: 03 RD: 39
From the Delaware Election Commissioner's website:
http://elections.delaware.gov/information/pollingplaces/sussex.shtml
GREENWOOD FIRE HALL ED: 01
BRIDGEVILLE FIRE HALL ED: 02
WOODBRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL ED: 03
Located in Bridgeville
DEL TECH HIGHER EDUCATION BLDG ED: 04
Located in Georgetown.
REDDEN COMMUNITY HALL ED: 06 RD: 35.
ELLENDALE FIRE HALL ED: 07 RD: 35
36th RD
4. MORRIS EARLY LEARNING CENTER
Lincoln
ED: 04 RD: 36
5. DEL TECH - JASON BLDG
Georgetown
ED: 05 RD: 36
6. MARINER MIDDLE SCHOOL
ED: 06 RD: 36
Milton
8. ELLENDALE FIRE HALL
ED: 08 RD: 36
37th RD
4. HARBESON CHURCH HALL
ED: 04 RD: 37
5. GEORGETOWN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
ED: 05 RD: 37
6. NORTH GEORGETOWN ELEMENTARY
ED: 06 RD: 37
8. DOT TRANSPORTATION BLDG
ED: 08 RD: 37
Georgetown
39th RD
1. SEAFORD MIDDLE SCHOOL
ED: 01 RD: 39
3. SEAFORD SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
ED: 03 RD: 39
From the Delaware Election Commissioner's website:
http://elections.delaware.gov/information/pollingplaces/sussex.shtml
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Rest In Peace Senator Adams
State Senator Thurman Adams passed away in the last 24 hours . While many may dispute his politics and legislative style, it is a mathematical fact that he has shown political staying power. He had been in the State Senate since 1972, meaning he had served through the Nixon, Ford ,Carter, Reagan, George H.W. Bush , Clinton, George W Bush and Barack Obama adminstrations. The only other current member to serve since 1972 is House Speaker Rep. Bob Gilligan.
My sympathy is extended to the Adams family at this time of sorrow.
My sympathy is extended to the Adams family at this time of sorrow.
A Special Election will take place within weeks.Registration totals show 19th Sen District to be a swing district
SUSSEX COUNTY
STATE SENATE DISTRICT #19
District ----Democrats Republicans Others Total
01 OF 35 ----1,058 ------1,193 ------562--- 2,813
02 OF 35---- 1,888------ 1,543------ 931--- 4,362
03 OF 35 -----238-------- 245 ------143---- 626
04 OF 35 ----1,174-------- 747------ 462---- 2,383
06 OF 35 -----464-------- 448------ 293---- 1,205
07 OF 35 -----300-------- 211------ 156----- 667
RD Total ----5,122------ 4,387 -----2,547-- 12,056
04 OF 36----- 966-------- 750------ 565---- 2,281
05 OF 36----- 249-------- 251------ 137------ 637
06 OF 36----1,022-------- 706------ 510---- 2,238
08 OF 36----- 625-------- 392------ 278----- 1,295
RD Total ----2,862------ 2,099---- 1,490----- 6,451
04 OF 37----- 175-------- 224------ 112-------- 511
05 OF 37----- 446-------- 637------ 264------ 1,347
06 OF 37----- 1,100------ 917------ 574------ 2,591
08 OF 37----- 233-------- 129------- 97-------- 459
RD Total ----1,954------- 1,907---- 1,047----- 4,908
01 OF 39----- 263-------- 395------ 155-------- 813
03 OF 39----- 557-------- 674------ 324------ 1,555
RD Total -----820------- 1,069----- 479------ 2,368
SD Total--- 10,758------ 9,462---- 5,563------ 25,783
http://elections.delaware.gov/reports/e70r2601sd.shtml
STATE SENATE DISTRICT #19
District ----Democrats Republicans Others Total
01 OF 35 ----1,058 ------1,193 ------562--- 2,813
02 OF 35---- 1,888------ 1,543------ 931--- 4,362
03 OF 35 -----238-------- 245 ------143---- 626
04 OF 35 ----1,174-------- 747------ 462---- 2,383
06 OF 35 -----464-------- 448------ 293---- 1,205
07 OF 35 -----300-------- 211------ 156----- 667
RD Total ----5,122------ 4,387 -----2,547-- 12,056
04 OF 36----- 966-------- 750------ 565---- 2,281
05 OF 36----- 249-------- 251------ 137------ 637
06 OF 36----1,022-------- 706------ 510---- 2,238
08 OF 36----- 625-------- 392------ 278----- 1,295
RD Total ----2,862------ 2,099---- 1,490----- 6,451
04 OF 37----- 175-------- 224------ 112-------- 511
05 OF 37----- 446-------- 637------ 264------ 1,347
06 OF 37----- 1,100------ 917------ 574------ 2,591
08 OF 37----- 233-------- 129------- 97-------- 459
RD Total ----1,954------- 1,907---- 1,047----- 4,908
01 OF 39----- 263-------- 395------ 155-------- 813
03 OF 39----- 557-------- 674------ 324------ 1,555
RD Total -----820------- 1,069----- 479------ 2,368
SD Total--- 10,758------ 9,462---- 5,563------ 25,783
http://elections.delaware.gov/reports/e70r2601sd.shtml
Monday, June 15, 2009
A Delaware Budget Alternative Offered By Rep John Kowalko
News-Journal Op-Ed 5-10-2009
Delaware citizens are facing an uncertain future that threatens to tear at our state’s long term health.
Republican and Democratic labels must be cast aside, and we must all look for answers in a spirit of responsibility, equality and sustainability.
Every Delawarean, regardless of their position, shares a common fate, and by simple logic, must share in a common solution.
Every one of the approximately 870,000 business entities that call Delaware home must also share in a common solution.
Responsible and equitable and sustainable. It is imperative that we find a solution that offers long term stability and fosters growth. It is not possible to support any quick fix that in the end places a greater burden on already overburdened state agencies, weakens Delaware’s long term stability and makes our revenue and tax stream revenues even more regressive and punitive to those who can afford it the least.
In light of the Governor’s March 2009 budget proposal, which states, “No group will bear a disproportionate burden from this challeng e alone,” the proposed 8% salary cut does not make sense. In addition to the obvious issues of equity and fairness, there are potentially crippling economic consequences that will further damage our already fragile state economy.
In a time when increased consumer spending and confidence is a collective goal, the salary cut is a step backwards, taking nearly a hundred million dollars of spending power out of an already faltering economy. Businesses up and down the state, already reeling and many of them surviving week to week, will suffer even greater harm, damaging the overall economic picture.
Shrinking business revenue could lead to even more employee layoffs in the private sector resulting in fewer opportunities for those who have already lost their jobs to reenter the job sector. There is also the real risk of small business failures that would continue the downward economic slide in Delaware. Since small businesses in Delaware employ over 50% of the workforce this is a risk we cannot afford to take.
There is a more equitable and responsible path to travel, one that involves all of our state’s people, giving all of us a sense of stewardship in these difficult times.
Delaware ranks, according to the Tax Foundation, tenth in the nation in business tax climate. But as equally important, if not more so, is the legal standing of Delaware Corporate Law. Website after website praises Delaware as a corporate haven, and even the Delaware Department of State Website states in a document titled, “Why Corporations Choose Delaware,” that Delaware law is “one of the most advanced and flexible corporation statutes in the nation.”
According to the Mone y Magazine, Delaware ranks as the fourth most tax friendly state for its citizens, beaten out by only Alaska, New Hampshire and Tennessee.
A quick look at proposal unveiled earlier this week reveals a menu of options from which to choose. We have looked at a over a dozen alternate revenue streams, any combination of which would spread the burden more evenly and would eliminate the need for an across the board salary cut to state employees.
The options include a closer look at the PIT structure, the Franchise Tax Cap for companies valued at over $660,000,000.00, fees for many of the 875,000 companies that have incorporated in Delaware, gasoline tax, and of course, dipping into the Rainy Day Fund. There are several more alternate revenue streams from which lawmakers can pull in our collective effort to balance the budget.
State employees make up approximately 6.8% of Delaware’s work force, and at an average salary of $44,000, are being asked to contribute an average of $3,520.00 per worker. Taking such a disproportionate amount of necessary livable income from median income workers directly contradicts the idea of a shared sacrifice and will further erode consumer confidence and spending. In reality, a salary cut is akin to a disproportionate tax on a small minority (6.8%) of the work force, and the effects go far beyond the ideas of fairness and equity to the very principals of a sound economy. When you factor in the increase in health benefits, the still frozen salary scales and the possibility of furlough days, the gap between rhetoric and reality widens even further.
An example of a more evenhanded and economically sound approach would be to ask for a small incremental annual amount from all workers rather than carve upwards to $$3,520.00 from a smaller limited number of workers averaging $44,000. There are six different PIT scenarios included in our proposal, and any one of them honors the ideas of asking all Delawareans, not just a small captive audience, to share in the burden.
Of the approximately 875,000 businesses that incorporate in Delaware, nearly 260,000 of them are traditional publicly traded companies. 1500 of these companies, all with a minimum asset value of $660,000,000 can be asked to contribute more with an increase in the Franchise Tax Cap, in an effort to live up to the ideal of shared burden and sacrifice.
In the “Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Report” by Nicholas Johnson (1/12/09) reference is made to a letter from Noble Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University and Peter Orsatz, (co-signed by 120 economists) to N.Y. Governor David Patterson. They write that “cuts could be more harmful for a state’s economy during a recession then tax increases…some types of reductions would reduce demand in the economy on a dollar-for-dollar basis and therefore be more harmful to the economy than a tax increase”. 0A
In light of these threats to a smooth economic recovery, and working in conjuction with the State Finance Department, the Office and Management and Budget as well as Controller General’s Office to ensure the accuracy of these numbers, we are confident that this plan follows the responsible and equitable path towards an economic recovery.
John Kowlako and Philip Kaplan
For more details go to:
http://www.johnkowalko.com/
Delaware citizens are facing an uncertain future that threatens to tear at our state’s long term health.
Republican and Democratic labels must be cast aside, and we must all look for answers in a spirit of responsibility, equality and sustainability.
Every Delawarean, regardless of their position, shares a common fate, and by simple logic, must share in a common solution.
Every one of the approximately 870,000 business entities that call Delaware home must also share in a common solution.
Responsible and equitable and sustainable. It is imperative that we find a solution that offers long term stability and fosters growth. It is not possible to support any quick fix that in the end places a greater burden on already overburdened state agencies, weakens Delaware’s long term stability and makes our revenue and tax stream revenues even more regressive and punitive to those who can afford it the least.
In light of the Governor’s March 2009 budget proposal, which states, “No group will bear a disproportionate burden from this challeng e alone,” the proposed 8% salary cut does not make sense. In addition to the obvious issues of equity and fairness, there are potentially crippling economic consequences that will further damage our already fragile state economy.
In a time when increased consumer spending and confidence is a collective goal, the salary cut is a step backwards, taking nearly a hundred million dollars of spending power out of an already faltering economy. Businesses up and down the state, already reeling and many of them surviving week to week, will suffer even greater harm, damaging the overall economic picture.
Shrinking business revenue could lead to even more employee layoffs in the private sector resulting in fewer opportunities for those who have already lost their jobs to reenter the job sector. There is also the real risk of small business failures that would continue the downward economic slide in Delaware. Since small businesses in Delaware employ over 50% of the workforce this is a risk we cannot afford to take.
There is a more equitable and responsible path to travel, one that involves all of our state’s people, giving all of us a sense of stewardship in these difficult times.
Delaware ranks, according to the Tax Foundation, tenth in the nation in business tax climate. But as equally important, if not more so, is the legal standing of Delaware Corporate Law. Website after website praises Delaware as a corporate haven, and even the Delaware Department of State Website states in a document titled, “Why Corporations Choose Delaware,” that Delaware law is “one of the most advanced and flexible corporation statutes in the nation.”
According to the Mone y Magazine, Delaware ranks as the fourth most tax friendly state for its citizens, beaten out by only Alaska, New Hampshire and Tennessee.
A quick look at proposal unveiled earlier this week reveals a menu of options from which to choose. We have looked at a over a dozen alternate revenue streams, any combination of which would spread the burden more evenly and would eliminate the need for an across the board salary cut to state employees.
The options include a closer look at the PIT structure, the Franchise Tax Cap for companies valued at over $660,000,000.00, fees for many of the 875,000 companies that have incorporated in Delaware, gasoline tax, and of course, dipping into the Rainy Day Fund. There are several more alternate revenue streams from which lawmakers can pull in our collective effort to balance the budget.
State employees make up approximately 6.8% of Delaware’s work force, and at an average salary of $44,000, are being asked to contribute an average of $3,520.00 per worker. Taking such a disproportionate amount of necessary livable income from median income workers directly contradicts the idea of a shared sacrifice and will further erode consumer confidence and spending. In reality, a salary cut is akin to a disproportionate tax on a small minority (6.8%) of the work force, and the effects go far beyond the ideas of fairness and equity to the very principals of a sound economy. When you factor in the increase in health benefits, the still frozen salary scales and the possibility of furlough days, the gap between rhetoric and reality widens even further.
An example of a more evenhanded and economically sound approach would be to ask for a small incremental annual amount from all workers rather than carve upwards to $$3,520.00 from a smaller limited number of workers averaging $44,000. There are six different PIT scenarios included in our proposal, and any one of them honors the ideas of asking all Delawareans, not just a small captive audience, to share in the burden.
Of the approximately 875,000 businesses that incorporate in Delaware, nearly 260,000 of them are traditional publicly traded companies. 1500 of these companies, all with a minimum asset value of $660,000,000 can be asked to contribute more with an increase in the Franchise Tax Cap, in an effort to live up to the ideal of shared burden and sacrifice.
In the “Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Report” by Nicholas Johnson (1/12/09) reference is made to a letter from Noble Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University and Peter Orsatz, (co-signed by 120 economists) to N.Y. Governor David Patterson. They write that “cuts could be more harmful for a state’s economy during a recession then tax increases…some types of reductions would reduce demand in the economy on a dollar-for-dollar basis and therefore be more harmful to the economy than a tax increase”. 0A
In light of these threats to a smooth economic recovery, and working in conjuction with the State Finance Department, the Office and Management and Budget as well as Controller General’s Office to ensure the accuracy of these numbers, we are confident that this plan follows the responsible and equitable path towards an economic recovery.
John Kowlako and Philip Kaplan
For more details go to:
http://www.johnkowalko.com/
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