Saturday, September 12, 2009

The turnout estimate of 25% was low,but the turnout pattern continues

There were 13,868 registered voters in the 37th Rep District as of 9-1-2009.

The unofficial vote total as of 8:42 pm on September 12,2009 is 4534.

Unofficial turnout reflects a 32.7% turnout which is above the 23-27% I predicted, but continues the pattern of legislative special elections held 80 days before or after June 30th having a turnout of at least 25%.

This pattern has applied to ten out of eleven state legislative special elections held since 1997 that I have reviewed.

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